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Okay, here's what I know you all have been waiting for: my Oscar predictions! In 2008, I picked 11 of 24 (45.8%) correctly. In 2009, I got 16 right (66.6%). So, y'know, not great, but random chance would yield a 20-33% success rate, so I'm doing quite a bit better than that. Anyway, on to the picks...
( Not a lot of surprises here )
As you can see, I'm betting that the Academy will think all the technical awards are "enough" for Avatar and give Best Picture/Director to The Hurt Locker. However, if some of the (non-Visual Effects) tech awards start going to other films, then Avatar might win. Or the people that voted might have gotten absolutely sick of hearing about both films and given it to Inglorious Basterds, so who knows.
I've only seen 5 of the 10 Best Picture nominees (Avatar, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, and Up) and of those, I actually think District 9 and Up are the best, though they're not really in the running to win. The Hurt Locker was good, but not phenomenal. And Avatar... well, I enjoyed it more than I thought I would, but it's still a glorified video game. Maybe I've spent too long in grad school (read: I have spent too long in grad school), but I was uncomfortable with the whole "noble savage" thing. My feelings on it aren't anything that hasn't been said many, many times already (it's like Dances With Wolves threw up all over Fern Gully, etc.) so I'll stop there.
Wow, this is starting to sound like I take the Oscars really seriously. I don't. I just figure if sports fans can jizz their pants in delight over playoffs/tournaments/cage matches, I can have a little fun with the movies. Plus, I've actually watched the Oscars while abroad (Australia in 2004 and Canada in 2007) with people of many different nationalities, and I've really found it touching how people from all over the world can come together on that one night and all say to each other: "What the fuck is Uma Thurman wearing? Kleenex?"
( Not a lot of surprises here )
As you can see, I'm betting that the Academy will think all the technical awards are "enough" for Avatar and give Best Picture/Director to The Hurt Locker. However, if some of the (non-Visual Effects) tech awards start going to other films, then Avatar might win. Or the people that voted might have gotten absolutely sick of hearing about both films and given it to Inglorious Basterds, so who knows.
I've only seen 5 of the 10 Best Picture nominees (Avatar, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, and Up) and of those, I actually think District 9 and Up are the best, though they're not really in the running to win. The Hurt Locker was good, but not phenomenal. And Avatar... well, I enjoyed it more than I thought I would, but it's still a glorified video game. Maybe I've spent too long in grad school (read: I have spent too long in grad school), but I was uncomfortable with the whole "noble savage" thing. My feelings on it aren't anything that hasn't been said many, many times already (it's like Dances With Wolves threw up all over Fern Gully, etc.) so I'll stop there.
Wow, this is starting to sound like I take the Oscars really seriously. I don't. I just figure if sports fans can jizz their pants in delight over playoffs/tournaments/cage matches, I can have a little fun with the movies. Plus, I've actually watched the Oscars while abroad (Australia in 2004 and Canada in 2007) with people of many different nationalities, and I've really found it touching how people from all over the world can come together on that one night and all say to each other: "What the fuck is Uma Thurman wearing? Kleenex?"
