the_deep_magic: A nightmare inexplicably torn from the pages of Kafka! (ST: he'd probably say gonads)
So, uh, if anybody still cares about the Oscars (which I watched while I should have been studying for my insane Crim Theory midterm yesterday), I went 11 for 24, so a slight improvement over last year.  And I guess I really ought to see Life of Pi (though I still want to read the book first).

I don't guess there's really much to be said about Seth MacFarlane that hasn't already been said.  I was hopeful at the beginning -- Shatner helped, of course, but the opening bit was fairly funny.  I didn't even mind the "We Saw Your Boobs" song at the time, because I saw it as him lampooning his own stupid, offensive-for-its-own-sake sense of humor.  But then he just kept on with the stupid, offensive-for-its-own-sake  sense of humor, which I suppose I should have seen coming.  He even had a few genuinely funny bits (the Christopher Plummer introduction and the Meryl Streep non-introduction), but it's like he just can't stop himself from aiming for the lowest common denominator.  And it was pointed out to me that at least four of the examples in the "Boobs" song were from rape scenes.  Were there any actual headlines that said "Seth MacFarlane worst Oscar host ever"?  Because that would have been appropriate, even if it meant Kirk-ex-machina had failed in his mission.

Anyway, if you haven't seen/heard "We Saw Your Junk" (lyrics NSFW, but if you've got headphones, you're fine), that makes it a little better.

I really hope they weren't joking about getting Tina and Amy to host next year.  I get that hosting the Oscars is a pretty thankless job, but surely there are ways to do it that don't cause viewers to cramp because they're cringing so hard.
the_deep_magic: A nightmare inexplicably torn from the pages of Kafka! (Lee Pace in eyeliner = invalid argument)

My record since I’ve been keeping track:
2008: 11 of 24 (45.8%)
2009: 16 of 24 (66.6%)
2010: 15 of 24 (62.5%)
2011: 11 of 24 (45.8%)
2012: 10 of 24 (41.7%)

So as you can see, I peaked a few years ago and I’ve been steadily getting worse at this.  Good thing I never put any money on it.

Behold 37.5% of this years winners (if the pattern holds)! )

I hate how all the big categories are never a surprise anymore.  Supporting Actor is the only one I'm not confident on.  Anyway, some thoughts on the Best Picture nominees I’ve seen. 

Argo )

Django Unchained )

Lincoln )

Silver Linings Playbook (vague spoilers) )

Zero Dark Thirty )

I would have liked to have seen Life of Pi and Beasts of the Southern Wild, but I have not read the book yet and no theaters around here were playing it, respectively.  I wasn’t really interested in Amour’s meditation on death, and I was pretty sure watching Les Mis would force me to meditate on death (I don’t do musicals, and I’d rather remember Russell Crowe from his L.A. Confidential days, thank you very much).  Anyway, I’m not super-invested in any of the movies this year – except Frankenweenie, which isn’t going to win Animated Film but should – so mostly I’m in it just to see how far Seth McFarlane pushes the censors.  Really, did the Academy people think that decision through?

the_deep_magic: (mirror!Spock)

It’s that time of year – my Oscar picks that no one asked for!  Last year I went an unimpressive 11 for 24 (45.8%), but I was 15 for 24 (62.5%) the year before that.  Still, I wouldn’t put any money on this.

Wild guesses! )

Unsolicited Opinions! )



Looking forward to Billy Crystal hosting -- yeah, he's kind of a safe standby, but he'll doubtless get some solidly funny moments in, and he can actually ad-lib.  Though we won't get to play Is James Franco Stoned? No, Really, Did He Show Up to This Thing Completely Blasted? Or Is He Just Like That All the Time?  I believe it was the conversation piece of the year.

the_deep_magic: A nightmare inexplicably torn from the pages of Kafka! (Like a square wheel)
Well, I finally saw The Social Network!  It was good -- I wasn't totally blown away by it, but I am a horribly jaded cynic when it comes to movies.  Too much of Aaron Sorkin's dialogue starts to sound a little... I guess banter-cutesy after a while, like the characters aren't even listening to each other, but here it didn't bother me at all.  I think he could've allowed for more complexity in the characterizations (Mark Zuckerberg did it all because he was spurned by a girl and couldn't get into the Chicken Club?  Really?), but it was still an interesting story.  Andrew Garfield is a cutie, too.** ;o) 

Is Jewnicorn the proper pairing name?  I don't think it's Garfberg.  Anyway, if anyone knows of any outstanding Andrew Garfield/Jesse Eisenberg RPF to rec me, I'll give it a read. 

*Joke stolen from @joshmalina
**Though I'm still not prepared to admit that rebooting the reboot of Spiderman isn't the stupidest idea ever.

Thoughts on Best Picture (no spoilers) and my Oscar picks )
the_deep_magic: A nightmare inexplicably torn from the pages of Kafka! (Default)
Okay, here's what I know you all have been waiting for: my Oscar predictions!  In 2008, I picked 11 of 24 (45.8%) correctly.  In 2009, I got 16 right (66.6%).  So, y'know, not great, but random chance would yield a 20-33% success rate, so I'm doing quite a bit better than that.  Anyway, on to the picks...

Not a lot of surprises here )

As you can see, I'm betting that the Academy will think all the technical awards are "enough" for Avatar and give Best Picture/Director to The Hurt Locker.  However, if some of the (non-Visual Effects) tech awards start going to other films, then Avatar might win.  Or the people that voted might have gotten absolutely sick of hearing about both films and given it to Inglorious Basterds, so who knows.

I've only seen 5 of the 10 Best Picture nominees (Avatar, District 9, The Hurt Locker, Inglorious Basterds, and Up) and of those, I actually think District 9 and Up are the best, though they're not really in the running to win.  The Hurt Locker was good, but not phenomenal.  And Avatar... well, I enjoyed it more than I thought I would, but it's still a glorified video game.  Maybe I've spent too long in grad school (read: I have spent too long in grad school), but I was uncomfortable with the whole "noble savage" thing.  My feelings on it aren't anything that hasn't been said many, many times already (it's like Dances With Wolves threw up all over Fern Gully, etc.) so I'll stop there.

Wow, this is starting to sound like I take the Oscars really seriously.  I don't.  I just figure if sports fans can jizz their pants in delight over playoffs/tournaments/cage matches, I can have a little fun with the movies.  Plus, I've actually watched the Oscars while abroad (Australia in 2004 and Canada in 2007) with people of many different nationalities, and I've really found it touching how people from all over the world can come together on that one night and all say to each other: "What the fuck is Uma Thurman wearing?  Kleenex?"

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