2013 Oscar Picks

My record since I’ve been keeping track:
2008: 11 of 24 (45.8%)
2009: 16 of 24 (66.6%)
2010: 15 of 24 (62.5%)
2011: 11 of 24 (45.8%)
2012: 10 of 24 (41.7%)

So as you can see, I peaked a few years ago and I’ve been steadily getting worse at this.  Good thing I never put any money on it.

( Behold 37.5% of this years winners (if the pattern holds)! )

I hate how all the big categories are never a surprise anymore.  Supporting Actor is the only one I'm not confident on.  Anyway, some thoughts on the Best Picture nominees I’ve seen. 

( Argo )

( Django Unchained )

( Lincoln )

( Silver Linings Playbook (vague spoilers) )

( Zero Dark Thirty )

I would have liked to have seen Life of Pi and Beasts of the Southern Wild, but I have not read the book yet and no theaters around here were playing it, respectively.  I wasn’t really interested in Amour’s meditation on death, and I was pretty sure watching Les Mis would force me to meditate on death (I don’t do musicals, and I’d rather remember Russell Crowe from his L.A. Confidential days, thank you very much).  Anyway, I’m not super-invested in any of the movies this year – except Frankenweenie, which isn’t going to win Animated Film but should – so mostly I’m in it just to see how far Seth McFarlane pushes the censors.  Really, did the Academy people think that decision through?